Alida Draudt, Experience Design Strategist/Futurist at Capital One, gave a really interesting talk on designing futures.
Our “present” leads to many different futures: the possible futures (all potential options), the probably futures (most likely to happen) and the preferred futures (desired futures).
Future sounds indefinite, but we can design it — but how do we navigate futures?
- Create a baseline today
- Consider all the possible futures
- Consider a preferable future
- Backcast on implications (what I prefer 15 years from now, therefore, what I need to do 10 yrs from now, 5 yrs, 1 yr etc)
- Work toward the preferable one.
I love the quote from James Dator: “any useful statement about the future should at first appear to be ridiculous”.